Q2 2026 Earnings Call — July 21, 2026
Analyst Steven Schubach (Wolf Research): Hi, good afternoon, and thanks so much for taking my questions. So first I had a question on the marketing strategy. You've significantly increased the level of marketing spend in recent quarters. You also hired a new CMO, I believe, less than a year ago. That investment has coincided with a meaningful acceleration of account growth, well above the 20% normalized level that you've spoken to previously. And we're hoping you could speak to how the marketing strategy has evolved in recent quarters, whether you're seeing a higher return on marketing spend, which should support a structurally higher account growth versus that 20% normalized level that you've spoken to in the past.
Executive Thomas: Well, you are correct that we have done all these things. I do not think that the marketing yield has in fact been higher than it was before. It is roughly the same. In other words, we increased expenses and we had a corresponding increasing yield, but not more than proportionally higher.
Analyst: Understood, but has the approach to marketing changed in your view where it gives you some increased confidence around the ability to deliver better than 20% account growth in terms of the go forward?
Executive Thomas: Yes, but we don't like to promise. It was only once when I said that we will grow up 30% and immediately the growth rate went down to 20. And then everybody said 20, 20, 20. And ever since that time, we have been over 30.
Analyst: Fair enough. I appreciate the desire not necessarily to overpromise. If I could just squeeze in one more on margin balances. The growth has really been extraordinary over the last few quarters in particular, frankly, over the last couple of years. And at the same time, Thomas, I know that you've mentioned in the past that you don't necessarily like when margin loans grow too quickly and was hoping to get your perspective on whether this level of margin balance growth reflects healthy levels of client activity that appears more durable or if there are any indications of outsized risk taking on the platform that might give you pause.
Executive Thomas: Well, we are very cognizant of client risk and margins, and we're continuously monitoring it, and we feel comfortable with the current levels.
Analyst Karl: Thanks so much for taking my questions.
Our next question comes from James Yarrow with Goldman Sachs. Please proceed.
Analyst James Yarrow (Goldman Sachs): Good afternoon, and thanks for taking the question. I was hoping you might be able to update us just on your excess capital position today. I know you most recently, I believe, talked about $8 billion of excess capital, but that was a few months ago. And then maybe if you could also just update us on the potential acquisition pipeline that you see right now.
Executive Milan: The total excess at this point, if we consider the various buffers that we have in place, is around $10.3 billion, so it increased by approximately $1.1 billion from the last quarter. Nothing new to report about the acquisitions other than the number of emails we receive on a weekly basis with potential acquisition targets from the various investment banks has dramatically increased. There is a lot offered, but nothing so far stood out as worthy pursuing it. That is not to say that we do not look at them.
Analyst James Yarrow: Thanks, Milan. That's really helpful. Just a quick follow-up on a slightly different topic, but I was hoping that you might be able to just provide your thoughts on the Chinese regulatory actions related to Chinese mainland brokerage accounts and I guess the impacts on your business if there are any and whether you see any risks to the Hong Kong business.
Executive Milan: So what happened was I'm pretty sure you're referring to the Tiger Futu situation where the Chinese regulator clamped down on their activities in terms of attracting accounts from mainland China where they are not licensed to operate. That's correct. Right. So we have been in compliance with the Chinese mainland regulations for a long time. We do not advertise in mainland. We carefully check that the accounts that we accept onto our platform can demonstrate that they have a residence outside of mainland China. That is how we have been operating for a while. Now, as a consequence of the clampdown on Tiger and Futu, we have seen a clear uptick in the broker transfers from Tiger and Futu. So the number of accounts and especially assets we have received from Tiger and Futu has increased after what happened to them in May. Hard to say whether that will continue. A lot of what we have seen is accounts that we already had on our platform shifted assets away from Tiger and Futu onto Interactive Brokers platform.
Analyst James Yarrow: That's very helpful. Thank you so much, Milan.
Analyst Patrick Moley (Piper Sandler): Yes, good afternoon. Thanks for taking the question. I just had one on prediction markets. I was curious what went into the decision to integrate CalSheet and CME into your prediction market offering alongside ForecastX contracts. And, you know, what are you seeing so far in terms of any tailwind that's provided to volumes or client adoption? Thanks.
Executive: The decision wasn't really hard. If you look at what we do as a broker, we consider it to be our job to offer connectivity and access to various marketplaces globally. As the prediction markets are growing, there is no reason for us to limit our clients to only access ForecastX. Kalshi is obviously a significant player. So that is what drove the decision. We wanted to increase the access for our clients. As a result, increase the available liquidity that they can access, which makes it easier for us to attract institutions to come to us to connect and access the prediction markets through us. One thing did not change, and that is we still do not offer sports. We still do not offer entertainment contracts. We continue to focus on contracts on events that have a potential to affect our clients' portfolios.
Analyst Patrick Moley: Great. Thanks for that. And then as a follow-up, you've added 1.3 million new accounts over the last year, but darts per account and commission per order are both flat. So could you help us get a better sense for why you haven't seen dilution in either of those metrics as you've scaled? Are the new cohorts really as active as the existing base, or could the strong environment...
Executive: I think what we see is partially due to the strong environment. The darts have been increasing. This has been a volatile time period somewhat helped by the SpaceX IPO. There's a lot of interest in investing. I think that's partially what you see. Sometimes we onboard bigger hedge funds onto our platform that trade a lot. Sometimes the account growth comes from introducing brokers that bring smaller accounts. So there is some amount of fluctuation in this.
Analyst: Okay. That's it for me. Thank you.
Analyst Ben Bodish (Barclays): Hi. Good evening and thank you for taking the question. I was wondering if you could unpack the strength in SEC lending this quarter. You know, the enhanced disclosure is very helpful as always. How much of it was maybe related to SpaceX versus other activities, and what does that maybe tell us about what activity could look like into Q3 and Q4, assuming perhaps that the IPO environment remains constructive?
Executive: That's a little hard to predict into the future, Ben. So as usual, the securities lending is driven by two things: a general increase in balances as we take on more customers, more positions, more shorts, more hard to borrow stocks that we can lend out to other brokers. And then in particular, at any one time, it's driven by any specials, any hot stocks that are at very high hard to borrow rates that our customers are holding and we can lend out. And in particular, we have a fully paid lending program we call Stock Yield Enhancement, and we lend out their securities and we split the earnings with them, and that makes them quite happy that it's an enhancement on the stock yields that they're already holding. But those come and go. Our job is to build out our systems and our teams to take full advantage when those show up, and we're seeing a lot of success in doing that.
Analyst Ben Bodish: Okay, that makes sense. Maybe one follow-up on the prediction markets question. I'm curious about ForecastX in particular. When we look at the volumes, it looks like they're pretty concentrated in a couple of specific temperature contracts. And you guys have been quite clear that the goal is climate, financial indicators, economic indicators. I'm just curious, in terms of the client concentration or anything like that, is there any sort of interesting signal or is it sort of where you found most product market fit for now and maybe more to come later? But just curious if there's anything to unpack there. Thank you.
Executive: Well, we are going to continue to concentrate on weather-related contracts and we are now bringing in potential hurricane landfalls and hope to expand in that area and that also implies insurance risk.
Analyst Daniel Fannin (Jefferies): Great. Thanks. So I was hoping to just get a little bit more context around the account growth in the quarter, you know, and even, I guess, year to date. It's been, as we've already said, quite strong. But the regions maybe that are generating the bulk of the growth, if Maria was maybe an outsized...
Executive: It's very simple. We are growing everywhere globally, all the regions, all the account types, whether it's financial advisor, introducing brokers, direct accounts. We are pleased with our growth across the board. It's that simple.
Analyst Daniel Fannin: Okay. And then you did mention in your prepared remarks that the backlog for introducing brokers is still quite strong. I guess a little bit of context there. Also, just trying to get maybe the size and scope of those versus previous periods. Is it similar in terms of the size of the potential partners that are coming on and maybe how those discussions have been evolving and if there's anything different?
Executive: This quarter, it's probably the fourth or fifth straight quarter in which we had a double-digit number of integrations going online. So that's healthy. The pipeline continues to be healthy. We have more integrations in progress than we had in the previous quarter. We have a significant number of new committed integrations. So the integrations that haven't started yet, but the type of institutions we have been onboarding recently has somewhat changed. We still see some startups, some new firms, but more and more we see firms with existing business that look to expand their offering, whether it's crypto or CFD providers that decided to offer their clients listed stocks, or retail brokers looking to expand from a single offering, for example, U.S. stocks into a significantly broader one that would cover other asset classes, other regions or financial institutions that already have some type of an investment offering and decided to onboard instead with Interactive Brokers either to cut their costs or to benefit from the broad product offering we can offer them. So very healthy pipeline.
Analyst Brennan Hawken (BMO): Good afternoon. Thanks for taking my questions. I was curious if you could parse out if possible what the impact that you saw from the opening of trading in Korea here recently. And how should we think about margin calls that we've heard about impacting that market? As I understand, you don't offer trading to residents in Korea. So that might insulate you to some degree from that. But just curious if you could parse that out for us. Thanks.
Executive: We do not offer the level of granularity as to trading volumes exactly where they occur. What I can tell you is that our entry into the Korean market was well-timed. There is a lot of interest in the Korean stocks, especially the semiconductor ones. We had a lot of trading from day one. Then the first ADR, Korean ADR, was listed in the United States. That did not negatively impact our trading in Korea at all. So when I looked at the trading activity week over week, it has just been a line that goes straight up. And the ADR trading just added to that. So very strong start.
Analyst Brennan Hawken: Excellent. Thanks for that. For my follow-up, you now have launched agentic AI capabilities. So I'm curious what the early read is on the impact of those tools on volumes and engagement. And also, you know, as a sort of sub-question, you don't have agentic execution on offer. So is this, you know, maybe a first stage that you're thinking for the rollout of these types of tools? Just because, you know, given demand, you talk about overnight demand for trading and whatnot. It sounds like agentic would sort of solve a lot of those issues for your customers. Are you looking at that as well? Thanks.
Executive: So you may recall from our press releases that we are integrated. We have enterprise-level integration with OpenAI, Anthropic, and X. And so our customers benefit from that integration. What we see is a lot of interest. Surprisingly to us, we saw a lot of clients connecting their AI chatbots to their IBKR accounts before we even made any public announcements. So we are very visible in the dropdowns of the AI chatbots as one of the companies that you can connect the chatbot to. So we're very pleased with how our clients use their chatbots to interact with their accounts. Now as to what is it that they can do through the chatbots, we allow them to access their account data, ask questions about it. We do offer an ability to trade but we utilize the so-called human in the loop paradigm which means the AI can submit an instruction to the account but that instruction then appears on a UI in a designated area from where the client has to approve the instruction to turn into an executable order. And there is an ever-growing number of our clients that use that ability. Now, I'm going to give you a little more about this.
I'm going to go for a little longer, if you don't mind. We have been offering APIs through which our clients can connect their programs or the spreadsheets into which they can use their programs or the spreadsheets to generate trades in their account for a very long time. What changed here is those were programmers, or those were people who had somewhat of an engineering background, so they knew what they were doing much more so than the general public that finds it very easy to interact with the AI chatbots, but we have to be more careful so that the chatbot doesn't run away from them and generate a lot of bad trades. That is why we have elected the approach of having the human in the middle. Now to your question, is that going to change over time? It will. We are going to be offering at some point fully autonomous agentic trading, but we're going to be very careful about the type of guardrails that will be available for our clients. And we will submit them to some type of a test to ensure that they understand the benefits and dangers of the autonomous trading before we let them proceed autonomously. So that is something we will do in the future.
Analyst Chris Allen (KPW): Good evening, everyone. I think most things have been covered. Maybe just a quick question, just in terms of what demand you're seeing or hearing from your customers for perpetual products, obviously a hot topic of discussion these days. You noted you're offering CBOE binary options now. Are you planning any thoughts in terms of demand for 24-7 products in metals and other areas? Any call on that front would be helpful.
Executive: In terms of the perpetual futures, it is less of a demand that we hear from our clients than our willingness to offer trading instruments where we see volume and public interest in general. That is why not long ago we decided to offer cryptocurrency perpetuals that are offered by Coinbase. You may remember that it's difficult to short cryptocurrencies. It's difficult to trade cryptocurrencies on margin. And those are the two problems that the perpetual futures solve. You can short them. You can trade on leverage. So that is why we decided to offer them. And we see that as far as the crypto segment is concerned, roughly one third of the trading that we see is now coming from these perpetuals. As more outfits will be, as more exchanges will be adding them, we will be providing access for our clients to more interesting ones.
Analyst: Thanks, that's it for me.
Management: Thank you so much, and this concludes our Q&A session. I will pass it back to Nancy Stuebe for closing comments.
Management: Thank you, everyone, for participating today.
As a reminder, this call will be available for replay on our website and we will be posting a clean version of the transcript on our site tomorrow.
Thanks again and we look forward to talking to you next quarter end. This concludes our conference. Thank you for participating and you may now disconnect.