Q1 2026 Earnings Call — April 29, 2026
Brian Nowak (Morgan Stanley): Thanks for taking my questions. I have two. The first one, Sundar, on a recent podcast, you talked about how you were acutely constrained that compute, something you focused on almost every week to sort of make sure you're deploying capacity correctly. So let me ask you this. As you sort of look at the search business, what are the areas that you are most excited about applying next-generation compute toward to sort of generate an ROIC on that return in search in the next 12 months? And then the second one is on the sale of the TPUs to third parties. Just can you help us philosophically understand the strategy around pricing them, given the high ROIC of using TPUs to power multi-year Google Cloud workloads a little bit? Thanks.
Sundar Pichai (CEO): I'll take the search one first. You know, obviously, you've seen we are taking advantage of all our investments in building the Gemini models and both obviously applying it in search and the Gemini app, driving innovations in AI overviews and AI mode, and they're all contributing to the increased usage of the product. I do think looking ahead across both these surfaces, you know, there is a massive opportunity to go deeper in what we do for our users, I think, you know, bringing agentic flows, workflows to consumers in a way that it's easy for them to do, including in the context of search, I see as a huge opportunity ahead. And obviously, we are in very, very early innings of all that. But our investments in our full stack of AI approach, I think, puts us in a good position to bring those experiences to search. And I'm pretty excited about it.
On the second question around TPUs, you know, obviously, you know, we do think about it as, you know, what are we doing through Google Cloud to help our customers? And, you know, that's the framework with which we think about it. In that context, you know, there are situations where it makes sense, for example, you take customers like Capital Markets where they are running this, you know, highly performant, you know, AI workloads. They wanted, you know, TPUs in their data centers. So there are, you know, and those trends are true across a diverse set of industries and in certain cases frontier AI labs too. And so we are, you know, opportunistic about it. But I do think we step back and think about it overall as the opportunity for Google Cloud. A lot of it is providing infrastructure through cloud. At times, it is direct sales of TPU hardware to a select group of customers. But again, we do take ROIC approach, and some of it helps us get more economies of scale, scale in our overall computer environment as well, and so helps us invest in the cutting edge, which we need to do the next generation as well.
Doug (J.P. Morgan): Thanks so much for taking the questions. One for Anat and one for Philip. Anat, you talked about 2027 CapEx that it'll increase significantly, and I know you didn't quantify it, but how do you think about the current CapEx trajectory, the ability to service this massive backlog that you've built up in just the last quarter and what will no doubt increase going forward? And then, Philip, can you just talk more about the drivers of search queries at an all-time high and then how you're thinking about how much room there may be to increase coverage of search queries, just the ability to show ads against a higher percentage of queries than the 20% you've been at historically? Thanks.
Anat (CFO): Let me start with your first question on CapEx and how we think about CapEx increase going into 2027. So you've seen us over the past several years increase CapEx every year, and we have done it very thoughtfully to meet the demand that we are seeing, both from external customers as well as demands across the organization. And you're seeing the proof point, the ROIC on that, in terms of just the growth rate we're seeing, whether it's growth rate within search or certainly the cloud business and the opportunity we have within the cloud backlogs. So as we're seeing that robust demand across the business, we are looking at what can we do to support that growing demand and the opportunity ahead of us, and increasing CapEx to meet that demand will provide more clarity in future earnings call about what that number will be, but that's the opportunity we're seeing ahead of us. It's quite meaningful, and we want to make sure we capitalize that and we do it in a way that's responsible as we've done to date.
So on the second part of your question, first of all, just to zoom out for a second, I mean, we're very pleased with the performance of our ads business here. And as Anat shared, Google services benefited from a strong FX tailwind. That's important to keep in mind. The strength we saw in search was not due to a single driver, but was really the result of many parts of our business showing strength and working very well together. If I just deep dive for a second into the vertical perspective, retail finance, I talked about it in health, drove the greatest contribution, although all major verticals actually contributed. And we make hundreds of changes every quarter to improve the user experience, the advertising experience, and so that's really contributing to our performance here and we've also been able to generate very strong performance while significantly evolving the search results page here. The queries continue to grow and as Sundar mentioned, they were at an all-time high. We see AI overviews and AI mode continue to drive greater search usage and growth in overall queries including in commercial queries. You specifically asked about the 20% on the coverage side.
And as I said before, I think with the ability of AI to better understand intent and a lot of other vectors around it, I think there is upside in that coverage number. And overall, just the understanding that we have with Gemini on its hand has just significantly expanded our ability to deliver ads on longer, more complex searches that were previously really difficult to monetize. And so, as I shared earlier, we're deploying our Gemini models now across all of our ad infrastructure, and it's really driving improvements across the big three areas that I highlighted in my prepared remarks.
Eric Sheridan (Goldman Sachs): Thanks so much for taking the questions. Maybe two if I could. The first one, just building on the answers so far, when you look at the backlog you disclosed today, so I would love to know if you can come back to your comments on AI infrastructure and your unique approach and how that positions you to either build capacity, scale, compute, and do it in a way that is, as Anat said, efficient, sort of effective from a margin standpoint as well as a compute standpoint, just to understand where you sit competitively in your mind relative to others. That would be one. And then, Philip, to bring you into the conversation, you referenced UCP, and there's been a lot of industry inertia around UCP very quickly. Talk to us a little bit about what UCP means for the services business as agenda commerce scales in the years ahead. Thanks so much.
Sundar Pichai (CEO): Look, I do think part of – I mean, I do think we are genuinely differentiated. We are unique in the market because of our vertically optimized AI stack and the way we co-develop the components from our infrastructure and models to platforms and the tools to applications and agents. And the fact that we – you know, own frontier models, own the silicon, you know, really helps us stay ahead of the curve. And on top of it all, just to put an extra point on it, the deep investment in our security layers to keep everything safe. And I think we are the only provider in the market that offers all of these in a vertical stack. And so overall, again, to my earlier comments to Brian, I think about it all as Google Cloud. We have many different ways to serve our customers so we can meet them in a way suited to their needs, I think better than other players here. And I do think, you know, looking ahead, our ability to invest in this moment and stay at the frontier, you know, I think puts us in a strong position. And I think we are doing it based on tangible demand signals we are seeing. And it's not just on the revenue side, but, you know, I'm talking from our ROIC framework. And, you know, that's what is helping us navigate this moment responsibly.
And to the second part of your question, look, we're in the early stages of the agentic era. Agentic is more than just completing transactions. We all know this. We see agentic experiences as additive, and it will really transform how we shop from discovery to decisions while helping, obviously, brands differentiate themselves. We've been very intentional about creating an agentic experience that works for our users, our partners, for the entire ecosystem. And our goal is really to remove the grunt work of shopping so consumers can focus on the enjoyable parts. For decades, you could either shop fast or smart. And I think with agenda commerce, you no longer have to actually choose between speed and certainty here. And the vision is to make commercial experiences across the board, assistive, more personal, more fluid. And we're carefully designing space and agentic workflows for users to really see valuable components of their shopping journey beyond just price, such as customer service, brand loyalty, and more while removing the friction of the process that I just talked about.
And this is exactly where the part of your question kicks in, the Universal Commerce Protocol, a new open standard for agentic commerce that works actually across the entire shopping journey, from the discovery to the buying and the post-purchase support that we just talked about. And it was really co-developed with the industry leaders, including, I mentioned them, Shopify, Etsy, Walmart, and so on. And we've received tremendous feedback so far from hundreds of top tech companies, payments partners, retailers really interested in integrating. And it will help power a new checkout experience in AI mode, in search, in the Gemini app, and allowing shoppers to actually check out from select merchants right as they're researching on Google and going through this journey. So we're very, very excited about it.
Ross Sandler (Barclays): Yeah, just following up on the last question on agentic shopping. So it seems like we're at the point in time where this is actually going to start happening finally. So, Philip, just to elaborate a little bit, as you look at carrying the AdWords business from kind of the old way of doing things to this new agentic, frictionless shopping way, how do you see the price and volume kind of growth trends for core AdWords evolving as you start implementing more agentic workflows in search?
Philip (Executive): Look, our number one focus is obviously on the user experience here. And I think the most important part in this is what I mentioned before. We're carefully designing the space in the agentic workflows for the users to actually see the valuable components within that shopping journey. And the second you have the space, you obviously have the ability for interesting advertising models. I think it's also worthwhile noting that beyond just the traditional agents, there's a lot of additional ways we can actually use AI to improve the shopping experience. You can think about it like our apparel try-on tools that is now available in the U.S. You can think about Google Lens. So there's a lot more to do here, but I think the key part is actually what I said before. We focus on the user experience here and then think. I think all else will follow if we pay attention to the points I mentioned.
Michael Nathanson (Moffett Nathanson): Thanks. One for Sundar, one for Philip. Sundar, if I can connect Brian's question and Eric's question and go a little bit higher, I want to understand how are you deciding, how are you allocating which divisions and projects get excess capacity even though you're constrained, right? So how do you decide between all the internal projects you have and the external projects, right? So what types of screens are you running to decide, you know, who gets the incremental capacity? And then for Philip, I noticed that you said it's on the Gemini app. There's more and more images that come to you in the shopping journey. Can you tell me your thoughts about adding advertising on that app and what's guiding your decision-making here on adding ads on Gemini? Thanks.
Sundar Pichai (CEO): I think a great question on an ongoing basis. I'm looking forward to Gemini helping me more and more as I'm thinking that through. Look, I do think that the foundation where we start with it is what do we need from a R&D standpoint to develop models of the frontier. So what do you need for, you know, training these models and so effectively the compute needed for GDM because it's a foundation for everything we do. And so that's a core principle with which we operate. And then, obviously, you know, we, with the ability to plan ahead, we are, we do, you know, we do long-range plans on our core areas, be it search, be it YouTube, and so on, as well as what we see in Google Cloud. And obviously, in Google Cloud, you know, we have, we are providing enterprise AI solutions which this quarter had an 800% year-on-year increase from the prior year. So we're seeing strong demand for Gemini Enterprise, our AI solutions there. We see strong demand for infrastructure in Google Cloud. And as I said earlier, in some cases, we are seeing demand for TPU hardware, TPU hardware and others data centers as well.
So, you know, we are modeling these out and working to allocate across these areas. Obviously, we are compute constrained in the near term, and as an example, our cloud revenue would have been higher if we were able to meet the demand. So we are working through that moment, and, you know, we are investing, but we have a robust, you know, long-range planning framework, and, you know, we see extraordinary opportunities ahead, and, you know, we are allocating with that framework in mind.
And to the second part of your question, as I said in my previous answer, we are obviously focused on the user first and creating a really great user experience with all of our products, especially annual products. And specifically on monetization in the Gemini app, our focus right now is on AI mode. But it's fair to say that we really believe a format that works well in AI mode would transfer successfully to Gemini app. And so today in the Gemini app, we're focused on the free tier and subscriptions, and our AI plans were a sizable contributor to our Google One revenue growth. But let's also be clear, ads have always been a big part of scaling products to reach billions of people. And if done well, ads can be really valuable and really helpful commercial information. And at the right moment, we'll share any plans, as we have said, but we're not rushing anything here.
Mark Schmulich (Alliance Bernstein): Yes, thanks for taking the question. Philip, one more on search performance, if I can. You know, you talked a few times about kind of optimizing for the consumer experience. And I guess besides higher query volume, is it fair to conclude that consumers are using these AI tools, Google's or otherwise, and it's shrinking their purchasing journeys significantly, converting at higher rates? And if so, is there a way to dimensionalize how much of the strength in search is being driven by that behavioral change against perhaps some of the newer advertiser AI tools that you've been launching and rolling out? Thank you.
Philip (Executive): I think the way to think about it is really to think about the expansionary moment we see here for search. This is the key part. AI is fundamentally changing how the world searches for and how it accesses information. Queries are at all-time highs, understand this. Traditional search really started with 10 buildings, and now we have AI overviews and AI mode, and they have made search more intelligent than ever, and they let you ask far more complex questions. And we have Lens or Circle to Search, and we have Search Live. Search Live is now available to all countries and languages that support AI mode. Again, it shows you the expansionary nature of it, and we have our AI-driven search campaigns, and we have now SMBs that can reach customers that feel that it really wasn't possible even a few years ago, and you can add in Google Translate and so on. So I feel if you factor all of this in, we're in a pretty good place and are quite excited about where this is going.
Ron Josie (Wood City): Great. Thanks for taking the question. Maybe this one is for Anat. You know, with margins continue to expand here, I wanted to understand maybe if you could break down the cost drivers or really the drivers of margin expansion, particularly amongst cloud. There's a thesis out there that AI revenues are a lower margin in general, but we are seeing margins improve. So more insights on just the cloud business and what's driving that margin expansion. Obviously, demand may be pricing, but that would be helpful. Thank you.
Anat (CFO): Sure. Let me help unpack the margin expansion. Obviously, we're pleased to see that there are pushes and pulls across the business, including within cloud specifically. And I would start with the top line. When we see this robust, strong revenue growth, both in cloud and Google services, it does provide leverage all the way down to the bottom line within the income statement. And, you know, we've been working hard to ensure we're running a productive and efficient organization. And it's not just how we operate the business, but even in areas such as our technical infrastructure, where we are investing these significant CapEx investments in our data centers and servers, we are looking at how we drive scientific process innovation within that organization. And that is reflected both in cloud and Google services as we allocate costs based on consumption. In the past, I did talk about the depreciation associated with these investments that is hitting both Google Cloud and Google Services. Google Cloud expanded margin quite significantly from a year ago, as you've seen in our numbers that we've just previewed.
And a lot of it, again, is the top-line growth that Google Cloud is providing or producing, as well as an incredibly efficient way of running the business. I will give Thomas and the team a lot of credit for running a very productive organization and making sure that we are supporting our customers and providing the services and products that they want and benefit from, continuing to drive top-line growth and doing this well within the middle of the income statement, all the way from a very efficient technical infrastructure, thinking through how do we leverage AI across our business. Sundar mentioned the use of coding internally, how Gemini helps us there at optimizing our real estate footprint. And we're going to continue to do this. We're not going to stop here. We're going to continue to push for more efficiency, knowing that we're going to have the headwind associated with the depreciation coming with higher CapEx level.
Ken Gorofsky (Wells Fargo): Thank you very much. Two, if I may, please. First, on the cloud and capacity, could you speak about how your verticalized capabilities enable you to navigate a complicated supply chain, especially one experiencing inflation and constraints? Are you factoring any supply chain price inflation into 26 and 27 CapEx commentary? And as part of that, maybe Anat, could you update us on the allocation of compute capacity, internal versus external cloud? And then one more, please. When you think about search query volume growth, we're clearly seeing expanding use cases. Historically, it's always been free to the consumer and completely ad-supported. Do you see future use cases where certain consumer use cases are more effectively monetized via subscriptions and maybe a different mix of the consumer, quote-unquote, search, the new search opportunity? Thank you.
Anat (CFO): All right, Ken. Maybe there are a few parts to it. Maybe I'll touch on it. And, you know, on overall compute, you know, I think I spoke earlier on how we think about allocation of compute across our businesses. And, you know, I think, again, the long-range planning and the ROIC frameworks, you know, give us a good way to plan ahead. I do think we, I mean, obviously, we are, you know, working through a complicated supply chain environment, as you point out, and we're factoring that into any commentary we give. But I think the scale at which we are operating and our ability to work across all layers, both, you know, our supply chain partners see the strength of our diversified businesses and the demand we drive and our frontier technology and the investments all through the stack. I think they help us get into deeper partnerships all across the supply chain. And I think that's, and I mentioned earlier, the economies of scale point as well. So all of that factors in a positive way there, I think.
In terms of search, look, I think we are proud that we build models that all, you know, we are at the frontier across the period of frontier. We do think about capability and the cost frontier deeply so that we can serve users at scale. But at the same time, we can bring in the most powerful models for the most demanding queries. But the future, as you are right, in a valuable, as we sell more and more valuable use cases, there are going to be use cases where people will want to use the most powerful model. And there may be different ways to accomplish that. So we're going to put the user first and support them in the way that they want to use the product. And we already provide various tiers of our subscription plans in which you can get access to more powerful models, and that applies across your Google user experience, including in Search. And, you know, you've seen the momentum. You know, we saw a very robust quarter in terms of our AI subscriptions growth, you know, driven by interest in getting access to better Gemini models. And so I think that sets us up well to serve the breadth of use cases people would want in all phases, including in Search.
Justin Post (Bank of America): Great. Thank you for taking my question. I expected a lot of interest in your TPU sales. So can you help us think about how you're thinking about the opportunity there and then maybe how much break down the backlog growth a little bit between TPUs and cloud? And then the second question, just think about the margins on these big generative AI cloud deals. How do you think about these $100 billion deals coming in and the margins associated with those? Can they be similar to your cloud business as it is? Thank you.
Sundar Pichai (CEO): Look, you know, overall I would say, look, we see tremendous interest in – there's tremendous demand for both AI solutions as well as AI infrastructure, including, you know, massive interest in our, you know, GPU offerings as well as TPUs. And so we are, you know, we are, you know, proud that we can provide customers with a very diverse – you know, with the breadth of our offerings and, you know, let them, we can meet them in terms of where their needs are.
Philip (Executive): And maybe I'll pass it on to give some color on the backlog growth. Yep. So the backlog, the TPU hardware agreements that Sundar referenced in his prepared remarks are reflected in our cloud backlog of the $462 billion, although the majority of the backlog is still GCP agreements. Now, if you think about the total backlog, just over half of it will convert to revenue in the next 24 months. And the TPU hardware sales, more specifically, we expect a small percent of them to see coming through as revenue later this year, and then the majority to be realized as revenue in 2027.
And then anything on the big AI deal margins with the generative AI companies? Look, I think nothing to comment on any specific contracts, but overall, earlier there was a lot of questions about how do we allocate, and remember, in a constrained environment, when we are choosing to allocate across all these opportunities, we are working off a robust ROC framework.
Management: Thank you, and that concludes our question and answer session for today. I'd like to turn the conference back over to Jim Friedland for any further remarks. Thanks, everyone, for joining us today. We look forward to speaking with you again on our second quarter 2026 call. Thank you and have a good evening. Thank you, everyone. This concludes today's conference call. Thank you for participating. You may now disconnect.